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Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius: Odds and Pick for UFC Edmonton

· Previews and Predictions

The co-main event of UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026, at Rogers Place brings together two flyweight grapplers, Erin Blanchfield and Jasmine Jasudavicius. The preview noted that, depending on when Valentina Shevchenko returns, the winner could be next in line for champion Natalia Silva's first possible title defense.

Blanchfield, 27, has won eight of her nine bouts, a run that includes a victory over former champion Rose Namajunas. Jasudavicius is 37 and has made a late push up the rankings, winning six of her last seven, and she is the highest-ranked Canadian on the UFC roster.

The numbers

Blanchfield opened as a -350 favorite, with Jasudavicius at +255. The most likely outcome according to the books was a Blanchfield decision at -145, while a Blanchfield submission was +600 and a knockout +900. For the Canadian, a decision win was priced at +390, a submission at +1300 and a knockout at +2200.

The breakdown described Blanchfield as perhaps the best grappler in the division, a jiu-jitsu black belt with slick transitions and above-average takedowns, whose kickboxing is serviceable and mostly a means to get the fight to the mat. The suggested plan was for her to stay mobile, throw straight shots and let Jasudavicius chase, so that she can start scrambles with an advantage rather than exhausting herself forcing takedowns.

According to the preview, Jasudavicius, who turned pro in 2019, is still improving, is physically strong and excels at grinding opponents down from top position. It warned that shooting early could drag her into guillotine attempts and reversals that favor the better grappler. Instead, it proposed a pressure game along the fence, using strength, elbows and knees to tire Blanchfield before looking for takedowns and ground strikes.

The pick

The analyst allowed that Jasudavicius could pull the upset if she followed the right plan perfectly, but doubted she would have the discipline to avoid wrestling exchanges. With Blanchfield seen as more fluid and better in too many areas, the prediction was a scrappy fight on the feet with Blanchfield winning the ground battle: Blanchfield by decision.